Idioma:Español
Yunnan Yukun v Dalian Yingbo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Predicción 43.96%2.27momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.04%44.08%44.01%45.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.072.102.2152.36%48.35%47.62%45.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Dalian Yingbo (Visitante)
Predicción 32.58%3.07momio equitativo
EV -0.646%
Ventaja -0.212%
Kelly -0.315%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.11%32.48%32.56%33.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.872.853.0540.00%34.88%35.09%32.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 23.46%4.26momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.457%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.18%23.44%23.43%24.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.893.904.2027.78%25.69%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 43.96%; Dalian Yingbo (Visitante): 32.58%; Empate: 23.46%. Para Dalian Yingbo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.07. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.05, con un valor esperado de -0.646%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.53%EV -2.84%E -1.29%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.17%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.29%EV -3.11%E -0.752%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.07%EV -3.28%E -1.49%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.48%E -2.55%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.49%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -5.92%E -2.77%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.17%EV -4.23%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.64%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -6.80%E -3.21%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.63%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.60%EV -2.93%E -0.982%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.78%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 15:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.45%EV -7.24%E -3.43%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.74%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -1.46%E -0.348%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.21%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.30%EV -5.92%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 11:32 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.21%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.11%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -7.09%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -7.68%E -3.66%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -12.02%E -3.21%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.95%EV -8.56%E -4.11%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.81%E -0.929%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.50%E -2.18%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.68%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -7.33%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.19%E -3.57%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -9.87%E -4.82%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -9.67%E -2.51%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 12:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.58%EV -11.19%E -5.54%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -0.646%E -0.212%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.07%E -6.04%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -12.07%E -6.04%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -6.16%E -1.54%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 11:48 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.55%EV -14.27%E -7.32%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.11%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.34%EV -14.37%E -3.94%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-12 08:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -15.15%E -7.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-12 08:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.42%EV -15.15%E -7.85%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -15.54%E -4.32%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-12 08:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.12%EV -16.03%E -8.39%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.71%EV -18.56%E -7.42%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.18%EV -10.85%E -2.85%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.58% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 11:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 11:45 |