Language:English
Yunnan Yukun v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Prediction 29.05%3.44fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.640%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.55%28.96%29.10%31.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.193.203.3936.36%31.33%31.25%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)
Prediction 48.06%2.08fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -4.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.61%48.14%47.98%49.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.921.921.9855.56%52.20%52.08%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.89%4.37fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -0.635%
Kelly -0.830%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.38%22.90%22.92%24.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.984.004.2526.67%25.11%25.00%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 29.05%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit): 48.06%; Draw: 22.89%. For Yunnan Yukun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.39, with an expected value of -1.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -1.53%E -0.451%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.98%EV -5.81%E -2.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.70%EV -3.16%E -0.746%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -2.98%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.69%E -4.57%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.63%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.81%E -2.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.34%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.38%EV -8.65%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.13%E -5.42%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -11.09%E -6.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.56%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 11:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.34%EV -12.53%E -6.89%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.34%EV -12.53%E -6.89%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.84%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.84%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -2.70%E -0.635%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 11:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 11:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.50%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -8.69%E -4.57%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.69%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.76%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.76%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.10%EV -20.12%E -7.32%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.52%EV -13.49%E -7.50%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.38%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
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