Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yunnan Yukun v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Início: 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC

Final: Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Previsão 29.05%3.44odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.451%
Kelly -0.640%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.39

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.55%28.96%29.10%31.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.193.203.3936.36%31.33%31.25%29.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)

Previsão 48.06%2.08odd justa
EV -4.84%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -4.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.98

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.61%48.14%47.98%49.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.921.921.9855.56%52.20%52.08%50.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.89%4.37odd justa
EV -2.70%
Vantagem -0.635%
Kelly -0.830%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.38%22.90%22.92%24.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.753.984.004.2526.67%25.11%25.00%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 29.05%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante): 48.06%; Empate: 22.89%. Para Yunnan Yukun (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.44. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.39, com valor esperado de -1.53%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -1.53%E -0.451%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.98%EV -5.81%E -2.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.70%EV -3.16%E -0.746%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:50
1xBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -2.98%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.69%E -4.57%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.63%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:54
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:55
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.81%E -2.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 11:44
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.34%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.38%EV -8.65%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:20
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.13%E -5.42%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -11.09%E -6.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 09:45
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.56%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.34%EV -12.53%E -6.89%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.34%EV -12.53%E -6.89%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:45
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.84%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 11:24
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.84%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:45
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 11:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 11:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 11:54
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -2.70%E -0.635%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 11:25
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 11:24
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 11:53
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 11:53
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.50%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:44
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:54
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:55
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -8.69%E -4.57%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.69%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.76%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:25
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.76%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.10%EV -20.12%E -7.32%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.52%EV -13.49%E -7.50%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.38%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-08 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-08-08 11:55
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%2.0%2026-08-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-08-08 11:55