Idioma:Español
Yunnan Yukun v Chengdu Rongcheng FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Predicción 29.05%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.451%
Kelly -0.640%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.55%28.96%29.10%31.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.193.203.3936.36%31.33%31.25%29.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante)
Predicción 48.06%2.08momio equitativo
EV -4.84%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -4.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.61%48.14%47.98%49.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.921.921.9855.56%52.20%52.08%50.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.89%4.37momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -0.635%
Kelly -0.830%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.38%22.90%22.92%24.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.753.984.004.2526.67%25.11%25.00%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 29.05%; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visitante): 48.06%; Empate: 22.89%. Para Yunnan Yukun (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.44. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.39, con un valor esperado de -1.53%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -1.53%E -0.451%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.98%EV -5.81%E -2.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.70%EV -3.16%E -0.746%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 09:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -2.98%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.69%E -4.57%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.63%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.81%E -2.96%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.34%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.38%EV -8.65%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.13%E -5.42%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -11.09%E -6.00%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.56%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-08 11:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.34%EV -12.53%E -6.89%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.34%EV -12.53%E -6.89%K -15.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 09:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.84%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.84%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -2.70%E -0.635%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-08 11:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 11:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 11:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.50%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -8.69%E -4.57%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.69%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.76%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.76%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.10%EV -20.12%E -7.32%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.52%EV -13.49%E -7.50%K -16.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.38%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-08 11:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 1.4% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35% | 2.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |