Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 12:00 UTC

Score final : Yunnan Yukun 1–0 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prévision 29.05%3.44cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.451%
Kelly -0.640%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.55%28.96%29.10%31.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.193.203.3936.36%31.33%31.25%29.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.06%2.08cote équitable
EV -4.84%
Avantage -2.45%
Kelly -4.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.61%48.14%47.98%49.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.921.921.9855.56%52.20%52.08%50.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.89%4.37cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -0.635%
Kelly -0.830%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.38%22.90%22.92%24.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.753.984.004.2526.67%25.11%25.00%23.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yunnan Yukun (Local) : 29.05% ; Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur) : 48.06% ; Match nul : 22.89%. Pour Yunnan Yukun (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.44. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.39, pour une espérance de -1.53% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.32%EV -1.53%E -0.451%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.98%EV -5.81%E -2.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.70%EV -3.16%E -0.746%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:45
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 09:50
1xBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -2.98%E -0.893%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -8.69%E -4.57%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.63%EV -5.22%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:54
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:54
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.73%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 11:55
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.70%EV -5.81%E -2.96%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 11:44
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.34%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.38%EV -8.65%E -2.17%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:20
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -10.13%E -5.42%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.29%EV -11.09%E -6.00%K -13.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.08%EV -9.57%E -2.42%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 09:45
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.56%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 11:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.34%EV -12.53%E -6.89%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.34%EV -12.53%E -6.89%K -15.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 09:45
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84%EV -4.84%E -2.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -3.84%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 11:24
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -3.84%E -0.915%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 11:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:45
Paddy Power🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -13.00%E -3.42%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:45
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 11:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 11:50
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.99%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.28%E -1.80%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 11:54
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.73%E -4.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -2.70%E -0.635%K -0.830%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 11:25
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 11:24
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 11:53
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 11:53
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.50%EV -7.25%E -3.76%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:44
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:54
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.71%E -2.75%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 11:55
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.21%E -4.30%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.16%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -8.69%E -4.57%K -9.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.13%E -1.50%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.69%EV -9.65%E -5.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.76%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:25
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.76%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -6.29%E -3.22%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -14.15%E -3.77%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 11:25
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.10%EV -20.12%E -7.32%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 47.52%EV -13.49%E -7.50%K -16.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.38%EV -8.42%E -2.11%K -2.81%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-08 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-08-08 11:55
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%2.0%2026-08-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%2.0%2026-08-08 11:55