Language:English
Yunnan Yukun v Beijing FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Prediction 37.37%2.68fair odd
EV -0.960%
Edge -0.362%
Kelly -0.582%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.53%37.24%37.51%38.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6543.48%39.96%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beijing FC (Visit)
Prediction 37.43%2.67fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.15%37.44%37.40%39.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.6043.48%40.94%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.20%3.97fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.443%
Kelly -0.596%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.71%25.32%25.09%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.583.553.9032.26%27.96%28.17%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yunnan Yukun (Local): 37.37%; Beijing FC (Visit): 37.43%; Draw: 25.20%. For Yunnan Yukun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.65, with an expected value of -0.960%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.76%EV -2.08%E -0.794%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -4.18%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.62%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 11:46 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -4.32%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -6.05%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -4.32%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -6.05%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.56%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 11:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.30%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.44%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.31%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%EV -10.04%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.60%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.15%EV -2.69%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.25%EV -9.79%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.31%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.31%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -4.56%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -2.99%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -1.73%E -0.443%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:38 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.34%EV -7.93%E -3.22%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -1.73%E -0.443%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-02 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.06%EV -21.89%E -7.06%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 11:40 |