مدرسة الاحتمالات

Yunnan Yukun v Beijing FC

البداية: 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Yunnan Yukun 3–3 Beijing FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Yunnan Yukun (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.37%2.68السعر العادل
EV -0.960%
الأفضلية -0.362%
Kelly -0.582%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.53%37.24%37.51%38.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.502.502.6543.48%39.96%40.00%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Beijing FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.43%2.67السعر العادل
EV -2.69%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -1.68%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.15%37.44%37.40%39.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.442.452.6043.48%40.94%40.82%38.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.20%3.97السعر العادل
EV -1.73%
الأفضلية -0.443%
Kelly -0.596%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.71%25.32%25.09%27.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.583.553.9032.26%27.96%28.17%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.76%EV -2.08%E -0.794%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -4.18%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.62%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 11:46
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:40
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:35
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -4.32%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -6.05%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:54
BetUS2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -4.32%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -6.05%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.56%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 11:34
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.30%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:33
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.44%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.31%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%EV -10.04%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:55
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 37.60%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.15%EV -2.69%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.25%EV -9.79%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:44
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 11:10
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 11:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:30
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:35
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:30
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.31%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:05
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.31%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:05
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -4.56%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -2.99%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 10:45
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -1.73%E -0.443%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:45
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 11:05
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 11:38
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.34%EV -7.93%E -3.22%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:10
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:39
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -1.73%E -0.443%K -0.596%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:45
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:45
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:05
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 10:40
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 10:40
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 11:35
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-02 11:05
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-02 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.06%EV -21.89%E -7.06%K -10.42%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-02 10:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-02 11:35
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-05-02 11:56
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-02 11:40