La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Yunnan Yukun v Beijing FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Yunnan Yukun (Local)
Predicción 37.37%2.68momio equitativo
EV -0.960%
Ventaja -0.362%
Kelly -0.582%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.53%37.24%37.51%38.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.6543.48%39.96%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Beijing FC (Visitante)
Predicción 37.43%2.67momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.15%37.44%37.40%39.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.452.6043.48%40.94%40.82%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.20%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.443%
Kelly -0.596%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.71%25.32%25.09%27.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.583.553.9032.26%27.96%28.17%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.76%EV -2.08%E -0.794%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -4.18%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.62%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-02 11:46 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 11:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Bovada | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -4.32%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -6.05%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:54 |
| BetUS | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -4.32%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -6.05%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.56%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 11:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.30%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 11:33 |
| 1xBet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.44%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.31%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%EV -10.04%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| GTbets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.60%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.15%EV -2.69%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.25%EV -9.79%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 10:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.31%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.31%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -4.56%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -2.99%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -1.73%E -0.443%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-02 11:38 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.34%EV -7.93%E -3.22%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-02 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 10:50 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-02 11:39 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -1.73%E -0.443%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-02 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-02 11:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-02 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.06%EV -21.89%E -7.06%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-05-02 10:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-05-02 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-05-02 11:56 |
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-05-02 11:40 |