Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun v Beijing FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 12:00 UTC

Score final : Yunnan Yukun 3–3 Beijing FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Yunnan Yukun (Local)

Prévision 37.37%2.68cote équitable
EV -0.960%
Avantage -0.362%
Kelly -0.582%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.53%37.24%37.51%38.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.6543.48%39.96%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Beijing FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.43%2.67cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.15%37.44%37.40%39.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.442.452.6043.48%40.94%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.20%3.97cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.443%
Kelly -0.596%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.71%25.32%25.09%27.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.583.553.9032.26%27.96%28.17%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Yunnan Yukun (Local) : 37.37% ; Beijing FC (Visiteur) : 37.43% ; Match nul : 25.20%. Pour Yunnan Yukun (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.68. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.65, pour une espérance de -0.960% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-01 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.53%EV -0.960%E -0.362%K -0.582%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.94%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -13.07%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-30 23:59
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.76%EV -2.08%E -0.794%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.62%EV -4.18%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.62%EV -5.26%E -1.40%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 11:46
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.41%EV -4.93%E -1.94%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-02 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -2.83%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -4.32%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -6.05%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:54
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.75%EV -4.32%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -6.05%E -2.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 11:55
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.56%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 11:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.35%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.32%EV -11.30%E -3.21%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:33
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.44%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.31%E -2.10%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%EV -10.04%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 11:55
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.60%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.15%EV -2.69%E -1.03%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.25%EV -9.79%E -2.74%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 11:10
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 11:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:30
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -14.33%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.31%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:05
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.31%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.32%EV -7.18%E -2.89%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 11:05
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -4.56%E -1.79%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -2.99%E -0.776%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 10:45
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -1.73%E -0.443%K -0.596%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -4.25%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 11:05
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.56%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 11:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.34%EV -7.93%E -3.22%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -8.03%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-02 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 10:50
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.04%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 11:39
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.75%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.71%EV -1.73%E -0.443%K -0.596%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 10:45
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.17%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.39%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-02 10:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.77%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 11:05
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.51%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 10:40
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -11.05%E -4.64%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -8.30%E -3.39%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 10:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-02 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -12.04%E -5.12%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -10.55%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-02 11:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -11.81%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-02 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -14.04%E -6.10%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.47%EV -13.91%E -6.05%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.06%EV -21.89%E -7.06%K -10.42%G +0.000%19.2%2026-05-02 10:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-05-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-02 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-05-02 11:35
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-05-02 11:56
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-02 11:40