Language:English
Wuhan Three Towns v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wuhan Three Towns (Local)
Prediction 39.24%2.55fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.70%39.22%39.18%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4845.45%42.64%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 32.57%3.07fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -0.760%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.29%32.58%32.54%33.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.832.823.0037.74%35.30%35.46%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.18%3.55fair odd
EV -4.18%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.20%28.28%29.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.303.4034.72%30.69%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wuhan Three Towns (Local): 39.24%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 32.57%; Draw: 28.18%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -2.28%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -2.67%E -1.08%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -10.66%E -3.36%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.14%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.53%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.17%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -4.24%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.28%E -0.760%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.28%E -0.760%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -3.91%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.41%EV -6.84%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 10:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 10:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.60%EV -8.14%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.60%EV -8.14%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.49%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.70%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 10:52 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 10:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 10:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -10.52%E -4.62%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.66%E -6.21%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -13.66%E -6.21%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.03% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.98% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99% | 0.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.45% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.36% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |