L’École des cotes

Wuhan Three Towns v Liaoning Tieren FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 11:00 UTC

Score final : Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Liaoning Tieren FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Prévision 39.24%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.67%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.70%39.22%39.18%40.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.352.352.4845.45%42.64%42.55%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.57%3.07cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.760%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.29%32.58%32.54%33.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.832.823.0037.74%35.30%35.46%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.18%3.55cote équitable
EV -4.18%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.20%28.28%29.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.303.4034.72%30.69%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -2.67%E -1.08%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -10.66%E -3.36%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 10:55
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.14%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.53%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 10:50
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 38.17%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 10:55
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -4.24%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 10:55
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.28%E -0.760%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 10:35
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.28%E -0.760%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 10:35
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -3.91%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 10:45
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.41%EV -6.84%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 10:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 10:43
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:55
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 10:49
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 10:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:39
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 10:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.60%EV -8.14%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 10:45
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.60%EV -8.14%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:50
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.49%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.70%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:50
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 10:52
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 10:39
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 10:23
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 10:55
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -10.52%E -4.62%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 10:55
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.66%E -6.21%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-16 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -13.66%E -6.21%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-16 10:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 39.03%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99%0.1%2026-05-16 10:55
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.45%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.36%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-16 10:55