A Escola das Odds

Wuhan Three Towns v Liaoning Tieren FC

Início: 2026-05-16 11:00 UTC

Final: Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Liaoning Tieren FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

Previsão 39.24%2.55odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -1.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.70%39.22%39.18%40.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.352.352.4845.45%42.64%42.55%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)

Previsão 32.57%3.07odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -0.760%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.29%32.58%32.54%33.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.652.832.823.0037.74%35.30%35.46%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.18%3.55odd justa
EV -4.18%
Vantagem -1.23%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%28.20%28.28%29.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.263.303.4034.72%30.69%30.30%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -2.67%E -1.08%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -10.66%E -3.36%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 10:55
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.14%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.53%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 10:50
Bovada2.46I 40.65%NM 38.17%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 10:55
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -4.24%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 10:55
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.28%E -0.760%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 10:35
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.28%E -0.760%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 10:35
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -3.91%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 10:45
Marathon Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.41%EV -6.84%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 10:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:55
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:55
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 10:43
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:55
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 10:49
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 10:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 10:39
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 10:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.60%EV -8.14%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 10:45
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.60%EV -8.14%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 10:45
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 10:50
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.49%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.70%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 10:50
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 10:55
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 10:52
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 10:39
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 10:23
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 10:55
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -10.52%E -4.62%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 10:55
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.66%E -6.21%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-16 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -13.66%E -6.21%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.02%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-16 10:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 39.03%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.98%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99%0.1%2026-05-16 10:55
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.45%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.36%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46%1.8%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-16 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44%1.9%2026-05-16 10:55