La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wuhan Three Towns v Liaoning Tieren FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wuhan Three Towns (Local)
Predicción 39.24%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.67%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.70%39.22%39.18%40.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.4845.45%42.64%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)
Predicción 32.57%3.07momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -0.760%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.29%32.58%32.54%33.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.832.823.0037.74%35.30%35.46%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.18%3.55momio equitativo
EV -4.18%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%28.20%28.28%29.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.303.4034.72%30.69%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -2.67%E -1.08%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -10.66%E -3.36%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.14%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.53%EV -3.58%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Bovada | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.17%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| BetUS | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -4.24%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.28%E -0.760%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -2.28%E -0.760%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 10:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -3.91%E -1.33%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.41%EV -6.84%E -2.39%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.81%E -2.42%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 10:43 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-16 10:49 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.60%E -2.77%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 10:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.60%EV -8.14%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.60%EV -8.14%E -2.89%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.86%EV -7.78%E -3.31%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.53%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.13%EV -8.17%E -3.49%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.70%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.93%EV -8.56%E -3.67%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -5.59%E -1.67%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 10:52 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.18%E -1.23%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-16 10:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.17%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 10:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -9.74%E -4.23%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -10.42%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -12.63%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -10.52%E -4.62%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -7.00%E -2.12%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -11.70%E -5.20%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -8.41%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.66%E -6.21%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -9.82%E -3.07%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.78%EV -13.66%E -6.21%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.62%EV -18.83%E -6.54%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.03% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.98% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.99% | 0.1% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.45% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.36% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.46% | 1.8% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.93% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.44% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 10:55 |