Language:English
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Prediction 44.59%2.24fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.64%44.66%44.41%46.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.052.052.1654.64%48.74%48.78%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)
Prediction 28.96%3.45fair odd
EV +1.64%
Edge +0.469%
Kelly +0.655%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.62%28.83%29.15%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.213.253.5134.48%31.16%30.77%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.45%3.78fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.50%26.43%28.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.453.503.6233.33%28.98%28.57%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 44.59%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 28.96%; Draw: 26.45%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -6.81%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV +1.64%E +0.469%K +0.655%G +0.011% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -1.54%E -0.453%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.54%E -0.453%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.04%EV -9.48%E -4.67%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.15%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -12.16%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -20.65%E -6.88%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-30 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -6.81%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -6.75%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -9.01%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 11:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -4.58%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -10.52%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-30 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.71%E -5.91%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -14.57%E -4.94%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.02%E -5.52%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |