La scuola delle quote

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Inizio: 2026-05-30 12:00 UTC

Finale: Shenzhen Peng City FC 3–2 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Casa)

Previsione 44.59%2.24quota equa
EV -3.68%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -3.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.64%44.66%44.41%46.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.052.052.1654.64%48.74%48.78%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.96%3.45quota equa
EV +1.64%
Vantaggio +0.469%
Kelly +0.655%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.62%28.83%29.15%30.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.213.253.5134.48%31.16%30.77%28.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.45%3.78quota equa
EV -4.25%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.53%26.50%26.43%28.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.453.503.6233.33%28.98%28.57%27.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -6.81%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV +1.64%E +0.469%K +0.655%G +0.011%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -1.54%E -0.453%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.54%E -0.453%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:49
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:49
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:50
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:50
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:50
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:50
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 04:49
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 04:49
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.04%EV -9.48%E -4.67%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.15%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 11:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 11:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 11:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -12.16%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 04:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -20.65%E -6.88%K -10.32%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-30 11:14
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 11:50
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 11:50
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 11:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 11:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 11:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 04:49
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -6.81%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -6.75%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -9.01%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 11:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:50
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 11:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 11:50
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -4.58%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -10.52%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 11:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 11:50
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-30 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.71%E -5.91%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -14.57%E -4.94%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-30 11:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.02%E -5.52%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-30 11:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-05-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-30 11:50