مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

البداية: 2026-05-30 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shenzhen Peng City FC 3–2 Qingdao Hainiu FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.59%2.24السعر العادل
EV -3.68%
الأفضلية -1.71%
Kelly -3.18%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.16

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.64%44.66%44.41%46.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.832.052.052.1654.64%48.74%48.78%46.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.96%3.45السعر العادل
EV +1.64%
الأفضلية +0.469%
Kelly +0.655%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.51

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.62%28.83%29.15%30.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.213.253.5134.48%31.16%30.77%28.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.45%3.78السعر العادل
EV -4.25%
الأفضلية -1.17%
Kelly -1.62%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.53%26.50%26.43%28.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.453.503.6233.33%28.98%28.57%27.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -6.81%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV +1.64%E +0.469%K +0.655%G +0.011%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 11:40
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -1.54%E -0.453%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 11:50
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.54%E -0.453%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:49
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:49
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:50
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:50
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:50
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 04:50
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 04:49
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 04:49
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.04%EV -9.48%E -4.67%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.15%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 11:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 11:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 11:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -12.16%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 04:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -20.65%E -6.88%K -10.32%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-30 11:14
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 11:50
LowVig.ag2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 11:50
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 11:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 11:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-30 11:50
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 04:49
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 04:50
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -6.81%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -6.75%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -9.01%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 11:50
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 11:50
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Codere (IT)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 11:50
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:50
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:50
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 11:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 11:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 11:50
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -4.58%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -10.52%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 11:50
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 11:50
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 11:50
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-30 11:49
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.71%E -5.91%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -14.57%E -4.94%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-30 11:50
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.02%E -5.52%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-30 11:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99%0.1%2026-05-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-05-30 11:50