La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Predicción 44.59%2.24momio equitativo
EV -3.68%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.64%44.66%44.41%46.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.832.052.052.1654.64%48.74%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)
Predicción 28.96%3.45momio equitativo
EV +1.64%
Ventaja +0.469%
Kelly +0.655%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.51
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.62%28.83%29.15%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.213.253.5134.48%31.16%30.77%28.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.45%3.78momio equitativo
EV -4.25%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.50%26.43%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.453.503.6233.33%28.98%28.57%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.02%EV -6.81%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.40%EV +1.64%E +0.469%K +0.655%G +0.011% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-30 11:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -1.54%E -0.453%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -1.54%E -0.453%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -9.93%E -4.91%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.12%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -2.99%E -0.892%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| GTbets | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.04%EV -9.48%E -4.67%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.15%EV -3.86%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.82%EV -4.25%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -12.16%E -6.17%K -12.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -18.40%E -10.05%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -4.44%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -20.65%E -6.88%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-30 11:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.83%EV -3.68%E -1.71%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.13%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| BetUS | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 04:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.67%EV -5.88%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-30 04:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.31%EV -6.81%E -3.26%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -6.75%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -9.01%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Bovada | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.33%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -7.25%E -3.49%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -7.70%E -3.72%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.78%E -2.79%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.78%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| 888sport | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -4.13%E -1.92%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-30 11:49 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.23%E -3.30%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.69%EV -4.58%E -2.14%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -10.52%E -3.40%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.05%EV -5.04%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.45%EV -8.59%E -4.19%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.68%E -3.83%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -6.10%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -6.36%E -3.03%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -12.60%E -6.43%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -13.12%E -4.37%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.39%E -3.40%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-30 11:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -11.71%E -5.91%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -14.57%E -4.94%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -10.07%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -10.82%E -5.41%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -16.02%E -5.52%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.99% | 0.1% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.59% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-05-30 11:50 |