Language:English
Shenzhen Peng City FC v Beijing FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)
Prediction 25.05%3.99fair odd
EV +0.194%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.065%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.38%25.10%25.04%26.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.703.744.0030.30%27.00%26.74%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beijing FC (Visit)
Prediction 50.28%1.99fair odd
EV -5.48%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -6.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.79%50.27%50.25%51.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.831.851.8857.80%54.64%54.05%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.67%4.05fair odd
EV +0.175%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.057%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%24.63%24.71%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.643.604.0631.25%27.45%27.78%24.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local): 25.05%; Beijing FC (Visit): 50.28%; Draw: 24.67%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.194%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV +0.194%E +0.048%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 10:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.31%E -0.593%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -3.56%E -0.926%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.38%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV +0.175%E +0.043%K +0.057%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -3.56%E -0.926%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.77%E -0.967%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.48%EV -11.51%E -6.54%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -16.11%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -7.49%E -4.07%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 10:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.49%E -4.67%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 10:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -3.77%E -0.967%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 10:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-21 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 10:37 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -11.01%E -6.22%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-21 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -8.49%E -4.67%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -10.51%E -5.90%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -13.02%E -7.53%K -17.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -21.04%E -6.58%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-04-21 10:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -17.34%E -5.25%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -12.01%E -6.86%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-21 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48% | 1.9% | 2026-04-21 10:25 |