La escuela de los momios

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Beijing FC

Inicio: 2026-04-21 11:00 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 0–1 Beijing FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Predicción 25.05%3.99momio equitativo
EV +0.194%
Ventaja +0.048%
Kelly +0.065%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.38%25.10%25.04%26.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.744.0030.30%27.00%26.74%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Beijing FC (Visitante)

Predicción 50.28%1.99momio equitativo
EV -5.48%
Ventaja -2.91%
Kelly -6.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.79%50.27%50.25%51.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.831.851.8857.80%54.64%54.05%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.67%4.05momio equitativo
EV +0.175%
Ventaja +0.043%
Kelly +0.057%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%24.63%24.71%26.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.643.604.0631.25%27.45%27.78%24.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV +0.194%E +0.048%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 10:55
GTbets3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.31%E -0.593%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 10:15
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -3.56%E -0.926%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.38%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV +0.175%E +0.043%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 10:50
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -3.56%E -0.926%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 10:25
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.77%E -0.967%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:25
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 10:15
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.48%EV -11.51%E -6.54%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -16.11%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 10:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -7.49%E -4.07%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:39
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 10:25
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:45
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:51
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.49%E -4.67%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 10:25
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:15
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 10:55
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 10:25
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -3.77%E -0.967%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:25
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:25
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:55
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:45
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 10:15
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 10:15
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 10:30
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:40
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:40
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 10:30
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:40
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 10:37
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 10:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 10:40
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 10:50
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -11.01%E -6.22%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:30
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -8.49%E -4.67%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -10.51%E -5.90%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -13.02%E -7.53%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -21.04%E -6.58%K -9.57%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-21 10:40
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -17.34%E -5.25%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -12.01%E -6.86%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-21 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-21 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-21 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-21 10:50
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-04-21 10:25