مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Beijing FC

البداية: 2026-04-21 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shenzhen Peng City FC 0–1 Beijing FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.05%3.99السعر العادل
EV +0.194%
الأفضلية +0.048%
Kelly +0.065%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.38%25.10%25.04%26.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.703.744.0030.30%27.00%26.74%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Beijing FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 50.28%1.99السعر العادل
EV -5.48%
الأفضلية -2.91%
Kelly -6.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.79%50.27%50.25%51.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.831.851.8857.80%54.64%54.05%53.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.67%4.05السعر العادل
EV +0.175%
الأفضلية +0.043%
Kelly +0.057%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.06

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.37%24.63%24.71%26.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.643.604.0631.25%27.45%27.78%24.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV +0.194%E +0.048%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 10:55
GTbets3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.31%E -0.593%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 10:15
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -3.56%E -0.926%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.38%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV +0.175%E +0.043%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 10:50
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -3.56%E -0.926%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 10:25
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.77%E -0.967%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:25
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 10:15
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.48%EV -11.51%E -6.54%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -16.11%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 10:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -7.49%E -4.07%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:39
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 10:25
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:45
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:51
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.49%E -4.67%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 10:25
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:15
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 10:55
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 10:25
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -3.77%E -0.967%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:25
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:25
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:55
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:45
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 10:15
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 10:15
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 10:30
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:40
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:40
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 10:30
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:40
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 10:37
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 10:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 10:40
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 10:50
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -11.01%E -6.22%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:30
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -8.49%E -4.67%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -10.51%E -5.90%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -13.02%E -7.53%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -21.04%E -6.58%K -9.57%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-21 10:40
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -17.34%E -5.25%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -12.01%E -6.86%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 10:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-21 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-21 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-21 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-21 10:50
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-04-21 10:25