L’École des cotes

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Beijing FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 11:00 UTC

Score final : Shenzhen Peng City FC 0–1 Beijing FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Prévision 25.05%3.99cote équitable
EV +0.194%
Avantage +0.048%
Kelly +0.065%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.38%25.10%25.04%26.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.744.0030.30%27.00%26.74%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Beijing FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.28%1.99cote équitable
EV -5.48%
Avantage -2.91%
Kelly -6.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.79%50.27%50.25%51.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.831.851.8857.80%54.64%54.05%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.67%4.05cote équitable
EV +0.175%
Avantage +0.043%
Kelly +0.057%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.37%24.63%24.71%26.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.643.604.0631.25%27.45%27.78%24.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV +0.194%E +0.048%K +0.065%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 10:55
GTbets3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.31%E -0.593%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 10:15
Pinnacle3.85I 25.97%NM 24.96%EV -3.56%E -0.926%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.38%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV +0.175%E +0.043%K +0.057%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 10:50
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -3.56%E -0.926%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 10:25
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.77%E -0.967%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 10:25
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 10:15
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.48%EV -11.51%E -6.54%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -16.11%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-21 10:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -7.49%E -4.07%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:39
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 10:25
SportsBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:45
Bet Victor3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:51
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -8.49%E -4.67%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 10:25
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:15
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.07%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 10:55
Marathon Bet3.74I 26.74%NM 24.76%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 10:25
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.98%E -3.20%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.16%EV -3.77%E -0.967%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:25
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.83%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 10:25
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:55
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:45
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 10:45
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 10:15
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -7.32%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.66%EV -9.00%E -4.97%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 10:15
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.57%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -6.99%E -3.78%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-21 10:30
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:40
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -5.48%E -2.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -2.54%E -0.643%K -0.861%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 10:40
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.24%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 10:30
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -7.99%E -4.37%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 10:40
Everygame3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 10:37
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 10:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.94%E -2.72%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 10:40
Neds3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.50%E -5.28%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.64%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-21 10:50
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -11.01%E -6.22%K -14.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -11.18%E -3.10%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-21 10:30
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.89%EV -8.49%E -4.67%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.54%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -10.51%E -5.90%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-21 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -14.84%E -4.36%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -13.02%E -7.53%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -21.04%E -6.58%K -9.57%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-21 10:40
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -17.34%E -5.25%K -7.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -12.01%E -6.86%K -16.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -7.47%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 10:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-21 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-21 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-21 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.64%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-04-21 10:50
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-04-21 10:25