Language:English
Shanghai SIPG FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Prediction 52.02%1.92fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.52%51.95%52.00%52.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.781.791.8559.88%56.11%55.87%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)
Prediction 26.11%3.83fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -0.917%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%26.13%26.15%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.523.503.7032.26%28.43%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.87%4.57fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.398%
Kelly -0.512%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%21.92%21.85%23.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.154.184.4926.32%24.07%23.95%22.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 52.02%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 26.11%; Draw: 21.87%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.49, with an expected value of -1.79%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.46%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.38%EV -1.79%E -0.398%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.94%EV -5.22%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.05%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.75%E -0.853%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -9.14%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -2.22%E -0.497%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.78%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -9.22%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -15.79%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 06:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.24%EV -9.49%E -5.46%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 11:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.06%E -6.15%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.