Idioma:Español
Shanghai SIPG FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Predicción 52.02%1.92momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -4.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.52%51.95%52.00%52.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.781.791.8559.88%56.11%55.87%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)
Predicción 26.11%3.83momio equitativo
EV -3.39%
Ventaja -0.917%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.75%26.13%26.15%27.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.503.7032.26%28.43%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.87%4.57momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.398%
Kelly -0.512%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.49
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.91%21.92%21.85%23.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.154.184.4926.32%24.07%23.95%22.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 52.02%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante): 26.11%; Empate: 21.87%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.57. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.49, con un valor esperado de -1.79%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.46%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.38%EV -1.79%E -0.398%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.94%EV -5.22%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.05%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.75%E -0.853%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -9.14%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -2.22%E -0.497%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.78%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -9.22%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -15.79%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 06:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.24%EV -9.49%E -5.46%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 11:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.06%E -6.15%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |