Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shanghai SIPG FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Início: 2026-08-01 11:35 UTC

Final: Shanghai SIPG FC 0–1 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Previsão 52.02%1.92odd justa
EV -3.77%
Vantagem -2.04%
Kelly -4.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.52%51.95%52.00%52.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.781.791.8559.88%56.11%55.87%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)

Previsão 26.11%3.83odd justa
EV -3.39%
Vantagem -0.917%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.75%26.13%26.15%27.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.523.503.7032.26%28.43%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.87%4.57odd justa
EV -1.79%
Vantagem -0.398%
Kelly -0.512%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.91%21.92%21.85%23.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.154.184.4926.32%24.07%23.95%22.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 52.02%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante): 26.11%; Empate: 21.87%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.57. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.49, com valor esperado de -1.79%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 11:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 11:19
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 11:20
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.46%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.38%EV -1.79%E -0.398%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-01 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 11:14
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.94%EV -5.22%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.05%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 11:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 06:24
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 06:24
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 06:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 06:24
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 06:24
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 06:24
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 06:24
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.75%E -0.853%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 11:30
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 11:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 11:15
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 11:14
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 11:20
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 11:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 11:25
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -9.14%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -2.22%E -0.497%K -0.641%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.78%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -9.22%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 11:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 06:24
SportsBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 11:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 10:54
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 11:15
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -15.79%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-01 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-01 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 06:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-01 06:25
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 11:15
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 11:15
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 11:29
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-01 11:20
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-01 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 11:19
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-01 11:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.24%EV -9.49%E -5.46%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-01 10:54
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 11:23
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 11:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-01 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-01 11:14
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.06%E -6.15%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%17.1%2026-08-01 11:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.6%2026-08-01 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-01 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-08-01 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.2%2026-08-01 11:30
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-08-01 11:30