Язык:Русский
Shanghai SIPG FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Shanghai SIPG FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 52.02%1.92справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.77%
Преимущество -2.04%
Kelly -4.44%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.85
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
50.52%51.95%52.00%52.92%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.671.781.791.8559.88%56.11%55.87%54.05%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Гости)
Прогноз 26.11%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.39%
Преимущество -0.917%
Kelly -1.26%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.75%26.13%26.15%27.54%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.523.503.7032.26%28.43%28.57%27.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 21.87%4.57справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.79%
Преимущество -0.398%
Kelly -0.512%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 4.49
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.91%21.92%21.85%23.49%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.804.154.184.4926.32%24.07%23.95%22.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Shanghai SIPG FC (Хозяева): 52.02%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Гости): 26.11%; Ничья: 21.87%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 4.57. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 4.49, математическое ожидание — -1.79%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.86%EV -3.77%E -2.04%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.93%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.21%EV -5.50%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.46%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -4.18%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.38%EV -1.79%E -0.398%K -0.512%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.02%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.94%EV -5.22%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.05%EV -6.60%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.06%EV -5.85%E -3.23%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.75%E -0.853%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.12%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -5.29%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.23%E -3.30%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-01 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.22%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.86%EV -9.14%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -2.22%E -0.497%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.78%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.89%EV -6.53%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.33%EV -9.22%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.05%EV -6.89%E -3.85%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.40%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.27%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.15%EV -7.41%E -4.16%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -12.53%E -3.74%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.91%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -7.93%E -4.48%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -15.79%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.22%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -7.31%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 06:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.13%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%EV -13.60%E -3.44%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-01 06:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%EV -7.04%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.44%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -5.94%E -1.38%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-01 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-01 11:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.98%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -9.92%E -2.88%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -16.88%E -4.44%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.24%EV -9.49%E -5.46%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.84%E -4.19%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-01 10:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -3.39%E -0.917%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 11:23 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.84%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -8.13%E -1.94%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.19%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -10.32%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-01 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.62%E -2.46%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-01 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -13.13%E -7.86%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -19.06%E -6.15%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -12.50%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-08-01 11:19 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.58% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.6% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.40% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53% | 1.0% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.2% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-08-01 11:30 |