Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 11:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prediction 54.31%1.84fair odd
EV -0.611%
Edge -0.334%
Kelly -0.736%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.25%54.09%54.34%55.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.731.721.8362.11%57.91%58.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)

Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV +7.55%
Edge +1.54%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +0.146%

assuming max odds 4.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.08%22.12%21.87%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.054.104.9128.17%24.72%24.39%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.79%4.20fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.00%23.79%23.78%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.803.804.0529.41%26.29%26.32%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 54.31%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 21.90%; Draw: 23.79%. For Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV +7.55%E +1.54%K +1.93%G +0.146%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -13.66%E -3.76%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:29
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.56%EV +0.099%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.80%EV -9.85%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:09
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -1.22%E -0.269%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -3.67%E -0.906%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 11:25
Bovada🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -1.43%E -0.319%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:07
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -8.76%E -5.21%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -2.53%E -0.568%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:29
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.62%E -0.824%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:13
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:20
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:15
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:15
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:14
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:09
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.31%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:15
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.93%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.57%EV -12.56%E -7.80%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -11.29%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:09
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -12.02%E -7.42%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 11:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -12.02%E -7.42%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 11:14
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.53%EV -1.70%E -0.938%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -19.13%E -5.63%K -7.97%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -3.33%E -1.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -22.24%E -6.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -3.33%E -1.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -22.24%E -6.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-04-11 11:30