L’École des cotes

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prévision 54.31%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.611%
Avantage -0.334%
Kelly -0.736%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.25%54.09%54.34%55.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.731.721.8362.11%57.91%58.14%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.90%4.57cote équitable
EV +7.55%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +1.93%
Croissance +0.146%

avec la cote maximale 4.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.08%22.12%21.87%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.554.054.104.9128.17%24.72%24.39%20.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.79%4.20cote équitable
EV -3.67%
Avantage -0.906%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.00%23.79%23.78%25.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.803.804.0529.41%26.29%26.32%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV +7.55%E +1.54%K +1.93%G +0.146%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -13.66%E -3.76%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:29
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.56%EV +0.099%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.80%EV -9.85%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:09
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -1.22%E -0.269%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -3.67%E -0.906%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 11:25
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -1.43%E -0.319%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:07
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -8.76%E -5.21%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -2.53%E -0.568%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:29
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.62%E -0.824%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:13
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:20
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:15
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:14
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:15
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.31%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:15
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.93%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.57%EV -12.56%E -7.80%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -11.29%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:09
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -12.02%E -7.42%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 11:15
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -12.02%E -7.42%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 11:14
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.53%EV -1.70%E -0.938%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -19.13%E -5.63%K -7.97%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 11:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -3.33%E -1.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -22.24%E -6.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -3.33%E -1.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -22.24%E -6.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 10:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-04-11 11:30