La scuola delle quote

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Inizio: 2026-04-11 11:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

46 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Casa)

Previsione 54.31%1.84quota equa
EV -0.611%
Vantaggio -0.334%
Kelly -0.736%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.25%54.09%54.34%55.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.611.731.721.8362.11%57.91%58.14%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.90%4.57quota equa
EV +7.55%
Vantaggio +1.54%
Kelly +1.93%
Crescita +0.146%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.08%22.12%21.87%25.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.554.054.104.9128.17%24.72%24.39%20.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.79%4.20quota equa
EV -3.67%
Vantaggio -0.906%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.00%23.79%23.78%25.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.803.804.0529.41%26.29%26.32%24.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV +7.55%E +1.54%K +1.93%G +0.146%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -13.66%E -3.76%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:29
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.56%EV +0.099%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.80%EV -9.85%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:09
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -1.22%E -0.269%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -3.67%E -0.906%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 11:25
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -1.43%E -0.319%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:07
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -8.76%E -5.21%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -2.53%E -0.568%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:29
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.62%E -0.824%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:13
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:20
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:15
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:14
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:15
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.31%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:15
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.93%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.57%EV -12.56%E -7.80%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -11.29%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:09
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -12.02%E -7.42%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 11:15
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -12.02%E -7.42%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 11:14
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.53%EV -1.70%E -0.938%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -19.13%E -5.63%K -7.97%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 11:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -3.33%E -1.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -22.24%E -6.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -3.33%E -1.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -22.24%E -6.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 10:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-04-11 11:30