La escuela de los momios

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:35 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Predicción 54.31%1.84momio equitativo
EV -0.611%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -0.736%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.25%54.09%54.34%55.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.731.721.8362.11%57.91%58.14%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)

Predicción 21.90%4.57momio equitativo
EV +7.55%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +1.93%
Crecimiento +0.146%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.08%22.12%21.87%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.554.054.104.9128.17%24.72%24.39%20.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.79%4.20momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -0.906%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.00%23.79%23.78%25.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.803.804.0529.41%26.29%26.32%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.11%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.08%EV +7.55%E +1.54%K +1.93%G +0.146%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.81%EV -13.66%E -3.76%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:29
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.56%EV +0.099%E +0.022%K +0.028%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.80%EV -9.85%E -2.60%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:09
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.32%EV -1.22%E -0.269%K -0.346%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.74%EV -3.67%E -0.906%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 11:25
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -1.43%E -0.319%K -0.410%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 11:07
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.13%EV -8.76%E -5.21%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -2.53%E -0.568%K -0.733%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:29
BetUS1.72I 58.14%NM 54.75%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -3.62%E -0.824%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.39%EV -4.72%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 11:13
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 54.79%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:20
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.41%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.81%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:15
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:15
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -6.91%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 11:14
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-11 11:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -4.96%E -2.83%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 11:15
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.21%EV -6.04%E -3.49%K -8.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 11:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 11:20
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.31%EV -8.21%E -4.86%K -11.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.43%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 11:15
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -8.01%E -1.91%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.34%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 11:15
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.79%EV -9.84%E -5.93%K -14.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -10.20%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -6.05%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 11:15
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.57%EV -12.56%E -7.80%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -11.29%E -2.79%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 11:15
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.59%E -3.83%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -4.86%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:10
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -7.13%E -4.17%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.24%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:10
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-11 11:09
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -7.67%E -4.51%K -10.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -12.39%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -14.37%E -3.99%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 11:14
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 54.13%EV -12.02%E -7.42%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.49%EV -14.58%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 11:15
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.65%EV -12.02%E -7.42%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -17.86%E -4.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.18%EV -10.80%E -2.88%K -3.93%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 11:14
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:44
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -0.611%E -0.334%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.53%EV -1.70%E -0.938%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -9.61%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -9.30%E -5.57%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -21.15%E -5.87%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -19.13%E -5.63%K -7.97%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 11:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -3.33%E -1.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -22.24%E -6.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -3.33%E -1.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -22.24%E -6.27%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -11.99%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 10:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.9%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-04-11 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.23%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-11 11:30
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.95%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.57%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.48%2.1%2026-04-11 11:30