Language:English
Shanghai Shenhua FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
Prediction 60.61%1.65fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.57%60.63%60.61%63.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.511.521.5969.93%66.15%65.79%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit)
Prediction 16.94%5.90fair odd
EV +5.86%
Edge +0.938%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.88%16.91%16.92%18.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.585.506.2521.05%17.92%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.45%4.45fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -0.748%
Kelly -0.974%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%22.47%22.48%24.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.094.104.3128.57%24.43%24.39%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 60.61%; Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit): 16.94%; Draw: 22.45%. For Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.90. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 20:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 20:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV +3.32%E +0.545%K +0.651%G +0.022% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-05 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -12.12%E -8.36%K -26.93%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV +3.32%E +0.545%K +0.651%G +0.022% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-05 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.33%EV -12.72%E -8.84%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.95%EV +3.32%E +0.545%K +0.651%G +0.022% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -10.30%E -6.96%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 18:22 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -13.33%E -9.32%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-05 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -13.33%E -9.32%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-05 20:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -1.76%E -0.303%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-08 21:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-08 20:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.45%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 15:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 20:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 23:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.85%E -3.09%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 5.68I 17.61%NM 16.85%EV -3.79%E -0.668%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%EV -3.22%E -0.748%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-08 23:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.64I 17.73%NM 16.61%EV -4.47%E -0.793%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.96%EV -8.39%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-08 20:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -5.15%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -5.15%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.14%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.20%EV -5.82%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.66%EV -5.24%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-08 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-08 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -12.72%E -8.84%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -21.41%E -6.12%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-08 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -6.66%E -4.33%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 00:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -10.23%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 23:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -10.23%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-08 21:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-08 23:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.55%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 21:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -11.92%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 23:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 22:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-08 22:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -10.30%E -6.96%K -21.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -18.70%E -3.90%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-08 23:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -19.54%E -4.11%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-08 20:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57% | 1.9% | 2026-05-08 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.0% | 2026-05-08 23:14 |