La scuola delle quote

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Inizio: 2026-05-09 11:35 UTC

Finale: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–2 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Casa)

Previsione 60.61%1.65quota equa
EV -3.63%
Vantaggio -2.28%
Kelly -6.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.57%60.63%60.61%63.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.511.521.5969.93%66.15%65.79%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.94%5.90quota equa
EV +5.86%
Vantaggio +0.938%
Kelly +1.12%
Crescita +0.065%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.88%16.91%16.92%18.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.755.585.506.2521.05%17.92%18.18%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.45%4.45quota equa
EV -3.22%
Vantaggio -0.748%
Kelly -0.974%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.71%22.47%22.48%24.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.094.104.3128.57%24.43%24.39%23.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:39
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:40
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:40
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:39
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:40
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV +3.32%E +0.545%K +0.651%G +0.022%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 20:39
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -12.12%E -8.36%K -26.93%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV +3.32%E +0.545%K +0.651%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.33%EV -12.72%E -8.84%K -28.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.95%EV +3.32%E +0.545%K +0.651%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 20:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -10.30%E -6.96%K -21.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:22
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -13.33%E -9.32%K -31.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-05 20:39
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -13.33%E -9.32%K -31.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-05 20:40
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -1.76%E -0.303%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 21:38
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 20:59
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.45%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:15
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 20:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 23:39
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.85%E -3.09%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.85%EV -3.79%E -0.668%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%EV -3.22%E -0.748%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 23:44
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.61%EV -4.47%E -0.793%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.96%EV -8.39%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 20:59
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -5.15%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 20:54
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -5.15%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 20:54
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.14%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.20%EV -5.82%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.66%EV -5.24%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 21:50
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 00:04
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 23:49
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 21:00
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 21:00
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 18:24
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -12.72%E -8.84%K -28.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -21.41%E -6.12%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-08 20:09
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -6.66%E -4.33%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 00:03
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -10.23%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 23:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -10.23%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 23:45
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 21:54
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 23:38
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.55%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 22:29
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 22:29
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -11.92%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 23:50
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 23:45
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 22:29
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -10.30%E -6.96%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -18.70%E -3.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-08 23:49
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -19.54%E -4.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 20:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-05-08 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-05-08 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-05-08 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-05-08 23:19
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-05-08 23:14