مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

البداية: 2026-05-09 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–2 Chongqing Tonglianglong FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.61%1.65السعر العادل
EV -3.63%
الأفضلية -2.28%
Kelly -6.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.57%60.63%60.61%63.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.511.521.5969.93%66.15%65.79%62.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.94%5.90السعر العادل
EV +5.86%
الأفضلية +0.938%
Kelly +1.12%
النمو +0.065%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.88%16.91%16.92%18.68%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.755.585.506.2521.05%17.92%18.18%16.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.45%4.45السعر العادل
EV -3.22%
الأفضلية -0.748%
Kelly -0.974%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.31

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.71%22.47%22.48%24.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.094.104.3128.57%24.43%24.39%23.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:40
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:39
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:40
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:40
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:39
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV +5.86%E +0.938%K +1.12%G +0.065%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 20:40
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -10.91%E -7.42%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV +3.32%E +0.545%K +0.651%G +0.022%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 20:39
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 63.17%EV -12.12%E -8.36%K -26.93%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.02%EV +3.32%E +0.545%K +0.651%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.33%EV -12.72%E -8.84%K -28.92%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.95%EV +3.32%E +0.545%K +0.651%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 20:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -10.30%E -6.96%K -21.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:22
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -13.33%E -9.32%K -31.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-05 20:39
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.01%EV -13.33%E -9.32%K -31.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV +1.63%E +0.271%K +0.326%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-05 20:40
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -1.76%E -0.303%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 21:38
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.03%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.45%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 20:59
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -3.45%E -0.802%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 15:15
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.35%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 20:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -2.61%E -0.453%K -0.549%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-08 23:39
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.85%E -3.09%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.68I 17.61%NM 16.85%EV -3.79%E -0.668%K -0.810%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.20%EV -3.22%E -0.748%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 23:44
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.64I 17.73%NM 16.61%EV -4.47%E -0.793%K -0.963%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.96%EV -8.39%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 20:59
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -5.15%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 20:54
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -5.15%E -0.919%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 20:54
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.14%EV -3.63%E -2.28%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.20%EV -5.82%E -1.05%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.66%EV -5.24%E -1.24%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 00:04
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -5.45%E -3.49%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 21:50
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 60.73%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%EV -4.57%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 00:04
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-08 23:49
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 21:00
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 21:00
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 18:24
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -12.72%E -8.84%K -28.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -6.84%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -21.41%E -6.12%K -8.56%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-08 20:09
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -6.66%E -4.33%K -12.34%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -8.53%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 00:03
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -10.23%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 23:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -10.23%E -1.93%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.82%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 23:45
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-08 21:54
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-08 23:38
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.55%E -3.52%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 22:29
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -11.08%E -2.11%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-08 22:29
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -11.92%E -2.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -7.94%E -1.94%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-08 23:50
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -7.88%E -5.18%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -5.69%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 23:45
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -6.06%E -3.91%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 22:29
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:29
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.27%E -4.75%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -15.31%E -3.06%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -12.43%E -3.19%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-08 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%EV -10.30%E -6.96%K -21.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%EV -18.70%E -3.90%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-08 23:49
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.09%E -6.06%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -19.54%E -4.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.18%E -2.55%K -3.39%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 20:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-05-08 23:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-05-08 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-05-08 23:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-05-08 23:19
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.42%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.0%2026-05-08 23:14