Language:English
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 73.15%1.37fair odd
EV -0.513%
Edge -0.377%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.83%73.06%73.09%74.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.281.3681.97%78.06%78.13%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)
Prediction 11.31%8.84fair odd
EV +7.48%
Edge +0.788%
Kelly +0.881%
Growth +0.066%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.94%11.39%11.36%15.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.507.757.909.5018.18%12.90%12.66%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 15.53%6.44fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +0.382%
Kelly +0.450%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 6.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.26%15.55%15.54%18.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.755.756.6020.41%17.38%17.39%15.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 73.15%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 11.31%; Draw: 15.53%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.84. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +7.48%E +0.788%K +0.881%G +0.066% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.83%E +0.203%K +0.228%G +0.004% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +1.83%E +0.203%K +0.228%G +0.004% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.65%EV -1.57%E -0.180%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -5.25%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 11.12%EV -3.04%E -0.354%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV +2.52%E +0.382%K +0.450%G +0.011% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.29%E -7.49%K -38.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 11:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 10:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 10:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.75%E -8.82%K -48.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.75%E -8.82%K -48.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -7.22%E -0.881%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 11:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.58%EV -7.83%E -6.21%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.968%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.78%EV -10.05%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.08%EV -3.54%E -0.569%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.64%EV -10.62%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.64%EV -10.62%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.513%E -0.377%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 16.11%EV -6.33%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.31%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.03%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.585%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.31%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.03%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.585%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.37%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.69%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -12.31%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -15.14%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.33%EV -9.29%E -7.49%K -38.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -15.14%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.75%EV -10.02%E -8.15%K -43.58%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.34%EV -17.97%E -2.48%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -20.80%E -2.97%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.57%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -20.80%E -2.97%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.57%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -26.46%E -4.07%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -27.59%E -4.31%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -23.89%E -4.87%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -27.59%E -4.31%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -23.89%E -4.87%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -37.77%E -6.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-14 10:48 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.87% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |