Idioma:Español
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Predicción 73.15%1.37momio equitativo
EV -0.513%
Ventaja -0.377%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.83%73.06%73.09%74.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.281.3681.97%78.06%78.13%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)
Predicción 11.31%8.84momio equitativo
EV +7.48%
Ventaja +0.788%
Kelly +0.881%
Crecimiento +0.066%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.94%11.39%11.36%15.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.507.757.909.5018.18%12.90%12.66%10.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 15.53%6.44momio equitativo
EV +2.52%
Ventaja +0.382%
Kelly +0.450%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.26%15.55%15.54%18.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.905.755.756.6020.41%17.38%17.39%15.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 73.15%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante): 11.31%; Empate: 15.53%. Para Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.84. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.48%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +7.48%E +0.788%K +0.881%G +0.066% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.83%E +0.203%K +0.228%G +0.004% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +1.83%E +0.203%K +0.228%G +0.004% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.65%EV -1.57%E -0.180%K -0.203%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -5.25%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 8.57I 11.67%NM 11.12%EV -3.04%E -0.354%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV +2.52%E +0.382%K +0.450%G +0.011% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.29%E -7.49%K -38.71%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-14 11:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 10:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-14 10:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.75%E -8.82%K -48.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.75%E -8.82%K -48.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -7.22%E -0.881%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 11:08 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.58%EV -7.83%E -6.21%K -30.11%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.968%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002% | 7.9% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.95I 12.58%NM 11.78%EV -10.05%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.21I 16.10%NM 15.08%EV -3.54%E -0.569%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.64%EV -10.62%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.64%EV -10.62%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.513%E -0.377%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 16.11%EV -6.33%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.31%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.03%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.585%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.31%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.03%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.585%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.37%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.69%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -12.31%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -15.14%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 11:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.33%EV -9.29%E -7.49%K -38.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -15.14%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.75%EV -10.02%E -8.15%K -43.58%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.34%EV -17.97%E -2.48%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -20.80%E -2.97%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.57%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -20.80%E -2.97%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.57%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -26.46%E -4.07%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-14 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -27.59%E -4.31%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -23.89%E -4.87%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -27.59%E -4.31%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -23.89%E -4.87%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-14 10:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -37.77%E -6.87%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-08-14 10:48 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 0.1% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.87% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 11:29 |