Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 3–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Prévision 73.15%1.37cote équitable
EV -0.513%
Avantage -0.377%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.83%73.06%73.09%74.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.281.3681.97%78.06%78.13%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.31%8.84cote équitable
EV +7.48%
Avantage +0.788%
Kelly +0.881%
Croissance +0.066%

avec la cote maximale 9.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.94%11.39%11.36%15.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.507.757.909.5018.18%12.90%12.66%10.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 15.53%6.44cote équitable
EV +2.52%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.450%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 6.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.26%15.55%15.54%18.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.905.755.756.6020.41%17.38%17.39%15.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local) : 73.15% ; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur) : 11.31% ; Match nul : 15.53%. Pour Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.84. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.50, soit une espérance positive de +7.48%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +7.48%E +0.788%K +0.881%G +0.066%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.83%E +0.203%K +0.228%G +0.004%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 11:24
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +1.83%E +0.203%K +0.228%G +0.004%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.65%EV -1.57%E -0.180%K -0.203%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -5.25%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%8.57I 11.67%NM 11.12%EV -3.04%E -0.354%K -0.401%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV +2.52%E +0.382%K +0.450%G +0.011%4.9%2026-08-14 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 11:24
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.29%E -7.49%K -38.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 11:28
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 10:38
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 10:38
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 11:15
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.75%E -8.82%K -48.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.75%E -8.82%K -48.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -7.22%E -0.881%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 11:08
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:09
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:09
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.58%EV -7.83%E -6.21%K -30.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 11:14
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.968%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-14 11:09
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.78%EV -10.05%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.08%EV -3.54%E -0.569%K -0.679%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.64%EV -10.62%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 11:09
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.64%EV -10.62%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 11:14
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.513%E -0.377%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 16.11%EV -6.33%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.31%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.03%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.585%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.31%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.03%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.585%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.37%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 11:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.69%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 11:14
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -12.31%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:19
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -15.14%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 11:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.33%EV -9.29%E -7.49%K -38.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -15.14%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.75%EV -10.02%E -8.15%K -43.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.34%EV -17.97%E -2.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 11:19
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -20.80%E -2.97%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.57%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -20.80%E -2.97%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.57%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 11:15
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -26.46%E -4.07%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -27.59%E -4.31%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -23.89%E -4.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-14 10:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -27.59%E -4.31%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -23.89%E -4.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-14 10:34
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -37.77%E -6.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-14 10:48
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%0.1%2026-08-14 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-14 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-14 11:29
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.87%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.82%1.2%2026-08-14 11:29