Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Início: 2026-08-14 11:35 UTC

Final: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 3–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Previsão 73.15%1.37odd justa
EV -0.513%
Vantagem -0.377%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.83%73.06%73.09%74.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.281.281.3681.97%78.06%78.13%73.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)

Previsão 11.31%8.84odd justa
EV +7.48%
Vantagem +0.788%
Kelly +0.881%
Crescimento +0.066%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.94%11.39%11.36%15.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.507.757.909.5018.18%12.90%12.66%10.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 15.53%6.44odd justa
EV +2.52%
Vantagem +0.382%
Kelly +0.450%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.26%15.55%15.54%18.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.905.755.756.6020.41%17.38%17.39%15.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 73.15%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante): 11.31%; Empate: 15.53%. Para Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.84. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.48%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +7.48%E +0.788%K +0.881%G +0.066%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV +1.83%E +0.203%K +0.228%G +0.004%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 11:24
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.69%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +1.83%E +0.203%K +0.228%G +0.004%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.65%EV -1.57%E -0.180%K -0.203%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.19%EV -5.25%E -0.860%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%8.57I 11.67%NM 11.12%EV -3.04%E -0.354%K -0.401%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.44%EV +2.52%E +0.382%K +0.450%G +0.011%4.9%2026-08-14 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 11:24
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.93%EV -9.29%E -7.49%K -38.71%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 11:28
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 10:38
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 10:38
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.09%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 11:15
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.75%E -8.82%K -48.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -10.75%E -8.82%K -48.88%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -3.83%E -0.451%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-14 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV -7.22%E -0.881%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 11:08
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.07%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 11:09
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:09
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.58%EV -7.83%E -6.21%K -30.11%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.83%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-14 11:14
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.15%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -9.49%E -1.19%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.968%E +0.149%K +0.176%G +0.002%7.9%2026-08-14 11:09
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.78%EV -10.05%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.08%EV -3.54%E -0.569%K -0.679%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.64%EV -10.62%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 11:09
Betsson🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.38%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.64%EV -10.62%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 11:14
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -0.513%E -0.377%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 16.11%EV -6.33%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.31%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.03%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.585%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.31%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.03%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -0.585%E -0.091%K -0.108%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 11:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.37%EV -7.10%E -5.59%K -26.28%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 11:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.69%EV -8.56%E -6.85%K -34.24%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -11.75%E -1.51%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -9.91%E -1.71%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 11:14
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -12.31%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -10.68%E -1.86%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-14 11:19
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.10%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV -15.14%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 11:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.33%EV -9.29%E -7.49%K -38.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -15.14%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -2.91%E -0.466%K -0.555%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.75%EV -10.02%E -8.15%K -43.58%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.34%EV -17.97%E -2.48%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.80%E -1.13%K -1.36%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 11:19
Neds🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -20.80%E -2.97%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.57%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -5.63%E -4.37%K -19.43%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -20.80%E -2.97%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -14.57%E -2.65%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 11:15
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.79%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -23.63%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -18.45%E -3.51%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -26.46%E -4.07%K -4.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 10:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -27.59%E -4.31%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -23.89%E -4.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-14 10:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.44%EV -6.37%E -4.97%K -22.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%EV -27.59%E -4.31%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -23.89%E -4.87%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-14 10:34
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -4.90%E -3.77%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -37.77%E -6.87%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -22.33%E -4.47%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-14 10:48
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%0.1%2026-08-14 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-14 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-14 11:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-08-14 11:29
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.31%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.87%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.82%1.2%2026-08-14 11:29