Language:English
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.93%56.14%56.04%59.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.621.621.7466.67%61.89%61.73%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit)
Prediction 20.94%4.78fair odd
EV +8.86%
Edge +1.70%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.187%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.62%20.85%20.92%23.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.554.405.2025.64%21.99%22.73%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.04%4.34fair odd
EV -0.242%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.073%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.60%23.00%23.04%24.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.994.004.3329.41%25.09%25.00%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 56.03%; Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit): 20.94%; Draw: 23.04%. For Liaoning Tieren FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 06:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 06:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 05:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 06:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 06:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-07 06:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -14.28%E -9.33%K -26.94%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 05:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 05:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-07 05:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.60%E -0.341%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.60%E -0.341%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 07:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.23%EV -2.51%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.21%EV -5.16%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.55%EV -6.00%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 07:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.00%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.84%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -8.77%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 07:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.00%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 07:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-07 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 07:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 07:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 07:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 07:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 07:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-07 07:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.76%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-07 07:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 07:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -16.26%E -4.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -0.242%E -0.056%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 07:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -16.26%E -4.06%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -21.67%E -6.37%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.09%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%EV -17.31%E -4.38%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -18.35%E -4.71%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.48% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72% | 2.3% | 2026-03-07 07:25 |