La escuela de los momios

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Inicio: 2026-03-07 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Predicción 56.03%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -3.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.93%56.14%56.04%59.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.621.621.7466.67%61.89%61.73%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)

Predicción 20.94%4.78momio equitativo
EV +8.86%
Ventaja +1.70%
Kelly +2.11%
Crecimiento +0.187%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.62%20.85%20.92%23.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.554.405.2025.64%21.99%22.73%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.04%4.34momio equitativo
EV -0.242%
Ventaja -0.056%
Kelly -0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.60%23.00%23.04%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.994.004.3329.41%25.09%25.00%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:59
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:59
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -14.28%E -9.33%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 05:59
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 05:59
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 05:59
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.60%E -0.341%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 07:25
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.60%E -0.341%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 07:24
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.23%EV -2.51%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.21%EV -5.16%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.55%EV -6.00%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 07:25
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 07:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 07:24
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 07:19
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.00%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.84%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -8.77%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 07:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 07:24
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 07:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.00%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 07:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 07:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 07:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 07:19
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 07:14
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 07:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 07:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 07:24
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 07:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:24
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.76%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-07 07:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 07:24
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -16.26%E -4.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -0.242%E -0.056%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 07:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -16.26%E -4.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -21.67%E -6.37%K -9.03%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-07 07:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.09%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%EV -17.31%E -4.38%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 07:25
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -18.35%E -4.71%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-07 07:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%2.3%2026-03-07 07:25