La scuola delle quote

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Inizio: 2026-03-07 07:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Casa)

Previsione 56.03%1.78quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -3.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.93%56.14%56.04%59.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.621.621.7466.67%61.89%61.73%57.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liaoning Tieren FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.94%4.78quota equa
EV +8.86%
Vantaggio +1.70%
Kelly +2.11%
Crescita +0.187%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.62%20.85%20.92%23.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.554.405.2025.64%21.99%22.73%19.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.04%4.34quota equa
EV -0.242%
Vantaggio -0.056%
Kelly -0.073%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.60%23.00%23.04%24.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.994.004.3329.41%25.09%25.00%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:59
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:59
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -14.28%E -9.33%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 05:59
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 05:59
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 05:59
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.60%E -0.341%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 07:25
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.60%E -0.341%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 07:24
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.23%EV -2.51%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.21%EV -5.16%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.55%EV -6.00%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 07:25
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 07:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 07:24
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 07:19
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.00%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.84%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -8.77%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 07:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 07:24
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 07:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.00%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 07:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 07:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 07:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 07:19
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 07:14
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 07:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 07:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 07:24
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 07:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:24
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.76%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-07 07:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 07:24
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -16.26%E -4.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -0.242%E -0.056%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 07:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -16.26%E -4.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -21.67%E -6.37%K -9.03%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-07 07:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.09%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%EV -17.31%E -4.38%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 07:25
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -18.35%E -4.71%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-07 07:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%2.3%2026-03-07 07:25