L’École des cotes

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 07:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Prévision 56.03%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -3.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.93%56.14%56.04%59.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.621.621.7466.67%61.89%61.73%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.94%4.78cote équitable
EV +8.86%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +2.11%
Croissance +0.187%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.62%20.85%20.92%23.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.554.405.2025.64%21.99%22.73%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.04%4.34cote équitable
EV -0.242%
Avantage -0.056%
Kelly -0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.60%23.00%23.04%24.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.994.004.3329.41%25.09%25.00%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:59
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 05:59
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 59.82%EV -13.72%E -8.91%K -25.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 06:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -14.28%E -9.33%K -26.94%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV +8.86%E +1.70%K +2.11%G +0.187%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 05:59
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 05:59
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV +6.77%E +1.33%K +1.65%G +0.112%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 05:59
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.60%E -0.341%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 07:25
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -3.64%E -2.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.50%EV -1.60%E -0.341%K -0.434%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.50%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 07:24
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.23%EV -2.51%E -1.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.21%EV -5.16%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.55%EV -6.00%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 07:25
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 07:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 07:24
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -5.79%E -1.29%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 07:19
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.00%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%EV -6.84%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.39%EV -8.77%E -2.21%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 07:25
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 54.90%EV -4.20%E -2.45%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 07:24
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.12%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 07:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.80%EV -7.00%E -4.21%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 07:24
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 07:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.32%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 07:20
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.71%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 07:19
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 07:14
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.97%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.93%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 07:25
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.84%E -1.96%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 07:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 07:24
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 07:24
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 07:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:25
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 07:24
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.91%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.33%EV -12.07%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.76%EV -13.60%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-07 07:19
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 07:24
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -16.26%E -4.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -0.242%E -0.056%K -0.073%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 07:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -16.26%E -4.06%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -21.67%E -6.37%K -9.03%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-07 07:25
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.09%EV -10.36%E -6.47%K -17.26%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.31%EV -17.31%E -4.38%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-07 07:25
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.52%EV -15.96%E -10.64%K -31.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.35%EV -18.35%E -4.71%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.13%EV -17.06%E -4.74%K -6.56%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-07 07:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-07 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 56.48%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%2.3%2026-03-07 07:25