The School of Odds

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Henan FC

2026-07-26 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Prediction 46.67%2.14fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.83%46.63%46.62%47.69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.821.971.992.0555%51%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Henan FC (Visit)

Prediction 28.90%3.46fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.49%29.03%28.85%30.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.853.163.203.3435%32%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.43%4.09fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -0.766%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.25%24.34%24.53%25.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.753.754.0029%27%27%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.766%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 12:50
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.04%EV -5.26%E -2.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.59%EV -3.46%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.36%EV -4.25%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-19 12:05
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 46.83%EV -5.73%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -4.62%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.51%EV -5.72%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 13:00
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -5.73%E -2.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.75%EV -5.19%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.56%EV -6.21%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 00:05
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:22
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -7.51%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 14:10
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:50
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.51%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 12:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.51%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 12:45
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.51%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 12:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.51%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 12:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -11.84%E -3.88%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-19 12:50
SportsBet1.99I 50.25%NM 47.40%EV -7.13%E -3.58%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.02%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.766%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 11:50
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -7.59%E -3.83%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.51%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 11:55
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -7.59%E -3.83%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.51%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -7.59%E -3.83%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.51%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 11:55
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.03%EV -8.06%E -4.09%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -6.35%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 11:53
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -8.06%E -4.09%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -4.74%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 22:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -6.06%E -1.86%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 12:19
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.51%E -2.35%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -2.30%E -0.575%K -0.766%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 11:54
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.75%EV -8.99%E -4.61%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -8.95%E -2.84%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -8.41%E -2.24%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 12:35
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.86%E -5.69%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -7.18%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 11:54
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.98%EV -12.26%E -6.52%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.40%E -3.35%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-19 11:57
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -12.26%E -6.52%K -13.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.51%EV -14.73%E -4.99%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-19 11:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 46.74%EV -14.59%E -7.97%K -17.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.50%EV -16.18%E -5.58%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.76%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-19 13:34
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 46.17%EV -15.06%E -8.27%K -18.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.48%EV -17.62%E -6.18%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.35%EV -15.73%E -4.56%K -6.42%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-19 11:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.