La escuela de los momios

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Henan FC

2026-07-26 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Predicción 47.01%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.63%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -3.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.73%46.93%47.05%48.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.971.972.0554.64%50.87%50.76%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Henan FC (Visitante)

Predicción 29.32%3.41momio equitativo
EV -0.014%
Ventaja -0.004%
Kelly -0.006%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.23%29.40%29.16%30.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.203.4135.71%31.75%31.25%29.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.67%4.23momio equitativo
EV -0.592%
Ventaja -0.141%
Kelly -0.185%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.55%23.67%23.78%24.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.843.824.2027.78%26.03%26.18%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -3.63%E -1.77%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 04:10
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%EV -4.57%E -2.25%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -0.592%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 09:10
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.73%EV -5.04%E -2.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 04:09
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.73%EV -5.04%E -2.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.99%EV -8.88%E -2.31%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 04:10
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.13%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.23%EV -0.014%E -0.004%K -0.006%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.65%EV -3.67%E -0.902%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 10:25
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.74%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.50%EV -1.77%E -0.529%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.75%EV -4.85%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 09:50
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 04:19
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.99%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 09:55
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 09:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 10:20
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -5.98%E -2.99%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.57%E -3.47%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 04:09
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -6.45%E -3.24%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 09:35
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -6.45%E -3.24%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 09:40
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 47.26%EV -6.45%E -3.24%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 09:35
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -6.92%E -3.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-21 11:55
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -6.92%E -3.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.13%EV -6.92%E -3.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-26 04:08
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.85%EV -6.92%E -3.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -13.61%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 09:50
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.65%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 10:25
GTbets1.97I 50.76%NM 47.15%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.67%EV -5.00%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.19%EV -9.11%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 12:25
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.71%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 11:50
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.71%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.71%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 11:55
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.71%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 11:55
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.71%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 11:55
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.71%EV -7.39%E -3.75%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-21 11:55
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.55%EV -7.86%E -4.01%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.01%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 08:35
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 10:25
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 09:55
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 07:13
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 07:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-21 11:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 09:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 09:50
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 09:50
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -12.43%E -3.36%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 09:50
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.04%E -4.01%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 09:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -14.79%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 04:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -8.33%E -4.27%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -14.79%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-26 04:19
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -8.80%E -4.54%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -4.71%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 09:45
LiveScore Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -9.27%E -4.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -13.61%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 11:50
Virgin Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 46.48%EV -9.27%E -4.80%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -13.61%E -3.73%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-21 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -9.74%E -5.07%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -16.43%E -5.77%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 04:10
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -10.21%E -5.35%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -11.24%E -3.00%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-26 04:24
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.20%EV -10.21%E -5.35%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -9.10%E -2.94%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 10:25
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -10.68%E -5.62%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -6.17%E -1.93%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 10:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -13.97%E -7.63%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.90%E -6.39%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.55%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%16.7%2026-07-23 23:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-07-26 10:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.8%2026-07-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.8%2026-07-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.8%2026-07-26 10:20
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 48.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.29%3.0%2026-07-26 09:45