Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Henan FC

Início: 2026-07-26 11:35 UTC

Final: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 1–2 Henan FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Previsão 42.51%2.35odd justa
EV -3.93%
Vantagem -1.74%
Kelly -3.12%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.35%42.63%42.54%45.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.142.152.2652.36%46.74%46.51%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Henan FC (Visitante)

Previsão 33.40%2.99odd justa
EV +0.189%
Vantagem +0.063%
Kelly +0.095%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.54%33.29%33.36%35.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.502.792.783.0040.00%35.83%35.97%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.09%4.15odd justa
EV +0.711%
Vantagem +0.170%
Kelly +0.224%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.30%24.08%24.11%25.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.833.804.1827.78%26.10%26.32%23.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 42.51%; Henan FC (Visitante): 33.40%; Empate: 24.09%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.15. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.18, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.711%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.88%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.78%EV -12.84%E -4.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.34%EV +0.711%E +0.170%K +0.224%G +0.002%7.1%2026-07-26 11:30
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.59%EV -6.05%E -2.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.30%EV -2.66%E -0.659%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 11:30
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.40%EV -7.75%E -3.57%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.63%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.63%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 11:30
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.63%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:29
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.61%EV -18.81%E -9.85%K -20.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -16.51%E -6.60%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.30%EV -3.63%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-26 11:25
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.50%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.83%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:28
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -4.83%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.97%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.41%EV -0.813%E -0.274%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.62%EV -5.79%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.33%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 11:30
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 11:30
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 11:29
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.24%EV -7.33%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.85%EV -9.16%E -3.37%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.24%EV -7.33%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.85%EV -9.16%E -3.37%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:30
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.13%EV -7.33%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 11:31
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.24%EV -7.75%E -3.57%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 11:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:31
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:28
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:31
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:30
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:30
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:30
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 11:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -14.13%E -6.99%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 11:30
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -6.90%E -3.15%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -9.41%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:30
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.54%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.20%EV -14.84%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -14.98%E -7.49%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -1.48%E -0.502%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.85%E -2.93%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -14.98%E -7.49%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -1.48%E -0.502%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.85%E -2.93%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 11:20
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -12.06%E -3.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.79%0.1%2026-07-26 11:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96%0.1%2026-07-26 11:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-07-26 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-07-26 11:31
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-07-26 11:31