Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Henan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shandong Luneng Taishan FC 1–2 Henan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Prévision 42.51%2.35cote équitable
EV -3.93%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -3.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.35%42.63%42.54%45.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.142.152.2652.36%46.74%46.51%44.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Henan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.40%2.99cote équitable
EV +0.189%
Avantage +0.063%
Kelly +0.095%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.54%33.29%33.36%35.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.792.783.0040.00%35.83%35.97%33.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.09%4.15cote équitable
EV +0.711%
Avantage +0.170%
Kelly +0.224%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.30%24.08%24.11%25.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.833.804.1827.78%26.10%26.32%23.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local) : 42.51% ; Henan FC (Visiteur) : 33.40% ; Match nul : 24.09%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.15. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.18, soit une espérance positive de +0.711%.

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.88%EV -5.20%E -2.33%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.78%EV -12.84%E -4.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.34%EV +0.711%E +0.170%K +0.224%G +0.002%7.1%2026-07-26 11:30
GTbets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.59%EV -6.05%E -2.74%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.11%EV -7.83%E -2.84%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.30%EV -2.66%E -0.659%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 11:30
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.40%EV -7.75%E -3.57%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.63%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 11:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -3.63%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 11:30
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -3.63%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 11:29
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.61%EV -18.81%E -9.85%K -20.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -16.51%E -6.60%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.30%EV -3.63%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-26 11:25
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.50%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.82%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.83%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 11:28
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.44%EV -11.50%E -4.34%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -4.83%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-26 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.97%EV -4.78%E -2.13%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.41%EV -0.813%E -0.274%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.62%EV -5.79%E -1.48%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-26 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.82%E -1.69%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.33%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 11:30
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 11:30
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.04%E -1.55%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -4.35%E -1.93%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 11:29
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.24%EV -7.33%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.85%EV -9.16%E -3.37%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.24%EV -7.33%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.85%EV -9.16%E -3.37%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:30
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.13%EV -7.33%E -3.36%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 11:31
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.24%EV -7.75%E -3.57%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -7.24%E -1.88%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 11:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:31
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:28
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:31
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:30
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:30
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:30
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-26 11:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -14.13%E -6.99%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV +0.189%E +0.063%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 11:30
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -6.48%E -2.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -12.50%E -4.77%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-26 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-26 11:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -9.83%E -3.64%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -8.44%E -2.22%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-26 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -6.90%E -3.15%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.63%EV -9.41%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:30
BetUS🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.98%EV -3.93%E -1.74%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.54%EV -12.85%E -6.27%K -12.24%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.20%EV -14.84%E -5.82%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -9.65%E -2.57%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -14.98%E -7.49%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -1.48%E -0.502%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.85%E -2.93%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -14.98%E -7.49%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -1.48%E -0.502%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.85%E -2.93%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 11:20
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -10.73%E -5.11%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -6.49%E -2.32%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -12.06%E -3.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.16%E -2.97%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 11:30
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.41%EV -8.60%E -4.00%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.85%EV -12.17%E -4.63%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.73%EV -13.26%E -3.68%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-26 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.79%0.1%2026-07-26 11:30
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 44.02%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.96%0.1%2026-07-26 11:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-07-26 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-07-26 11:31
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.13%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-07-26 11:31