Language:English
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Beijing FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)
Prediction 45.75%2.19fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.75%45.89%45.74%47.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.002.012.1054.64%49.96%49.75%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beijing FC (Visit)
Prediction 30.15%3.32fair odd
EV +2.51%
Edge +0.738%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.65%30.11%30.18%31.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.043.003.4036.36%32.90%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.10%4.15fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.291%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%24.00%24.08%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.793.804.2030.30%26.36%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local): 45.75%; Beijing FC (Visit): 30.15%; Draw: 24.10%. For Beijing FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV +2.51%E +0.738%K +1.05%G +0.026% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-14 06:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV +2.51%E +0.738%K +1.05%G +0.026% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-14 06:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.45%EV -5.30%E -2.56%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -0.505%E -0.153%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.41%EV -5.04%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -5.76%E -2.79%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -2.01%E -0.619%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 06:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.26%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 06:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.26%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 06:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -5.30%E -2.56%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.56%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.88%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.03%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 06:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -5.33%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -7.45%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV +1.22%E +0.291%K +0.383%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV +1.22%E +0.291%K +0.383%G +0.005% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 04:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -12.03%E -3.30%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 00:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.31%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 00:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.60%E -0.899%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 05:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 05:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 09:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -1.19%E -0.289%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:13 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -9.42%E -4.76%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.24%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 05:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 04:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 04:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.52%EV -12.62%E -6.61%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -14.44%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-14 00:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.60%EV -13.53%E -7.16%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -13.17%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 24.48%EV -15.16%E -4.31%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-14 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -16.28%E -8.90%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -13.17%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -20.47%E -6.20%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.80%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -14.07%E -4.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -12.03%E -3.30%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.90%EV -14.45%E -7.73%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -17.09%E -6.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.89%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-14 05:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.73%EV -15.36%E -8.31%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -17.09%E -6.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.50%EV -13.24%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 06:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 06:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 05:05 |