مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Beijing FC
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (المضيف)
التنبؤ 45.75%2.19السعر العادل
EV -3.93%
الأفضلية -1.87%
Kelly -3.57%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.75%45.89%45.74%47.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.832.002.012.1054.64%49.96%49.75%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Beijing FC (الضيف)
التنبؤ 30.15%3.32السعر العادل
EV +2.51%
الأفضلية +0.738%
Kelly +1.05%
النمو +0.026%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.65%30.11%30.18%31.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.043.003.4036.36%32.90%33.33%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 24.10%4.15السعر العادل
EV +1.22%
الأفضلية +0.291%
Kelly +0.383%
النمو +0.005%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.38%24.00%24.08%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.793.804.2030.30%26.36%26.32%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV +2.51%E +0.738%K +1.05%G +0.026% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-14 06:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV +2.51%E +0.738%K +1.05%G +0.026% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-14 06:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.45%EV -5.30%E -2.56%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -0.505%E -0.153%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.41%EV -5.04%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -5.76%E -2.79%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -2.01%E -0.619%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 06:25 |
| Bovada | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.26%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 06:23 |
| BetUS | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.26%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 06:24 |
| GTbets | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -5.30%E -2.56%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.56%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.88%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.03%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 06:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -5.33%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -7.45%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV +1.22%E +0.291%K +0.383%G +0.005% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV +1.22%E +0.291%K +0.383%G +0.005% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 04:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -12.03%E -3.30%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 05:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 00:44 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.31%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 00:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.60%E -0.899%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 05:34 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 05:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-13 09:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -1.19%E -0.289%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:10 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 09:13 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -9.42%E -4.76%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.24%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 05:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-09 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-09 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 04:35 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 04:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-14 05:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.52%EV -12.62%E -6.61%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -14.44%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-14 00:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 45.60%EV -13.53%E -7.16%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -13.17%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 24.48%EV -15.16%E -4.31%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-14 00:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -16.28%E -8.90%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -13.17%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -20.47%E -6.20%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.80%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -14.07%E -4.94%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -12.03%E -3.30%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 00:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.90%EV -14.45%E -7.73%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -17.09%E -6.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.89%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-14 05:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 45.73%EV -15.36%E -8.31%K -18.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -17.09%E -6.21%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.50%EV -13.24%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-03-14 05:44 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (5)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.55% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72% | 0.4% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 06:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 06:10 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 05:05 |