A Escola das Odds

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC v Beijing FC

Início: 2026-03-14 07:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Local)

Previsão 45.75%2.19odd justa
EV -3.93%
Vantagem -1.87%
Kelly -3.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.75%45.89%45.74%47.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.832.002.012.1054.64%49.96%49.75%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Beijing FC (Visitante)

Previsão 30.15%3.32odd justa
EV +2.51%
Vantagem +0.738%
Kelly +1.05%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.65%30.11%30.18%31.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.753.043.003.4036.36%32.90%33.33%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.10%4.15odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.291%
Kelly +0.383%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.38%24.00%24.08%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.793.804.2030.30%26.36%26.32%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV +2.51%E +0.738%K +1.05%G +0.026%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 06:14
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38%EV -3.93%E -1.87%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV +2.51%E +0.738%K +1.05%G +0.026%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-14 06:15
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.45%EV -5.30%E -2.56%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -0.505%E -0.153%K -0.219%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.41%EV -5.04%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 06:30
1xBet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -5.76%E -2.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.39%EV -2.01%E -0.619%K -0.894%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.24%EV -5.04%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 06:25
Bovada2.03I 49.26%NM 46.26%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 06:23
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 46.26%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 06:24
GTbets2.07I 48.31%NM 45.56%EV -5.30%E -2.56%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.56%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.88%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 14:55
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.03%E -1.60%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 06:24
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -5.33%E -1.70%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -7.45%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 06:30
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.77%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV +1.22%E +0.291%K +0.383%G +0.005%5.3%2026-03-14 06:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV +1.22%E +0.291%K +0.383%G +0.005%6.1%2026-03-14 06:30
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 00:45
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 06:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 04:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 04:19
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 04:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 04:20
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -6.53%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -12.03%E -3.30%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 05:35
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 00:44
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.07%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 00:45
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.31%EV -7.13%E -3.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.04%E -2.64%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 00:49
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.60%E -0.899%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 05:34
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.21%E -3.03%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 05:05
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-13 09:49
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.58%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -1.19%E -0.289%K -0.383%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 06:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 09:09
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 09:09
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 09:09
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 09:09
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 09:09
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 09:10
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 09:10
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.35%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-09 09:13
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.27%EV -9.42%E -4.76%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%EV -4.80%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 06:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.74%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.50%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -7.21%E -1.87%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 00:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-09 09:14
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -7.59%E -3.76%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.55%E -3.18%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -13.24%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 05:29
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 09:09
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.45%EV -9.87%E -5.01%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -11.06%E -3.75%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-09 09:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 04:35
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.50%E -4.25%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -10.83%E -2.93%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-14 04:34
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.79%E -5.53%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.42%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-14 05:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.52%EV -12.62%E -6.61%K -13.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.98%EV -12.56%E -4.33%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -14.44%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-14 00:44
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 45.60%EV -13.53%E -7.16%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -13.17%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 24.48%EV -15.16%E -4.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-14 00:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 45.66%EV -16.28%E -8.90%K -19.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -13.17%E -4.57%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.32%EV -20.47%E -6.20%K -8.90%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-14 06:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -11.25%E -5.80%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -14.07%E -4.94%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -12.03%E -3.30%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 00:45
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 45.90%EV -14.45%E -7.73%K -16.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -17.09%E -6.21%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.89%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-14 05:30
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.73%EV -15.36%E -8.31%K -18.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.77%EV -17.09%E -6.21%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.50%EV -13.24%E -3.68%K -5.09%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-14 05:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.55%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.72%0.4%2026-03-14 06:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-03-14 06:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-03-14 06:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.31%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%1.9%2026-03-14 06:10
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-03-14 05:05