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Qingdao West Coast FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)
Prediction 34.45%2.90fair odd
EV +1.62%
Edge +0.550%
Kelly +0.831%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.53%34.16%34.55%35.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.752.722.9540.00%36.38%36.76%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit)
Prediction 39.16%2.55fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.31%39.60%39.17%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.302.352.4846.73%43.45%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.416%
Kelly +0.562%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.52%26.24%26.29%27.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.47%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 34.45%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Visit): 39.16%; Draw: 26.39%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.101%E -0.035%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV +1.60%E +0.416%K +0.562%G +0.009% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 10:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -0.101%E -0.035%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -14.63%E -6.71%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.13%E -0.395%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.13%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -3.41%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -1.82%E -0.640%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -16.19%E -7.57%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -1.82%E -0.640%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -16.19%E -7.57%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-04 03:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.11%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.27%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.47%EV -9.54%E -4.13%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 10:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 10:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.04%E -0.277%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 10:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -7.58%E -3.21%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 10:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-04 10:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-04 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-07-04 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.80%E -7.35%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 10:55 |