A Escola das Odds

Qingdao West Coast FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Início: 2026-07-04 11:00 UTC

Final: Qingdao West Coast FC 2–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Previsão 34.45%2.90odd justa
EV +1.62%
Vantagem +0.550%
Kelly +0.831%
Crescimento +0.013%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.53%34.16%34.55%35.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.752.722.9540.00%36.38%36.76%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visitante)

Previsão 39.16%2.55odd justa
EV -2.88%
Vantagem -1.16%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.31%39.60%39.17%42.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.142.302.352.4846.73%43.45%42.55%40.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.39%3.79odd justa
EV +1.60%
Vantagem +0.416%
Kelly +0.562%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.52%26.24%26.29%27.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.47%28.57%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:15
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:15
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:15
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:14
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:14
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:14
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:15
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.101%E -0.035%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV +1.60%E +0.416%K +0.562%G +0.009%5.9%2026-07-04 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -0.101%E -0.035%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -14.63%E -6.71%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 03:15
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.13%E -0.395%K -0.607%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.13%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -3.41%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 10:45
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -1.82%E -0.640%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -16.19%E -7.57%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 03:15
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -1.82%E -0.640%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -16.19%E -7.57%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 03:15
GTbets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.11%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 10:40
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.27%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.47%EV -9.54%E -4.13%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 10:55
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:45
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:40
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 10:49
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 10:45
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.04%E -0.277%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:40
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:45
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 10:55
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 10:50
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -7.58%E -3.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 10:50
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 10:35
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 10:35
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 10:50
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 10:50
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 10:50
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 10:50
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 10:50
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 10:50
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 10:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 10:45
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 10:55
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 10:50
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 10:55
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-04 10:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.80%E -7.35%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-07-04 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-07-04 10:55