L’École des cotes

Qingdao West Coast FC v Shanghai SIPG FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 11:00 UTC

Score final : Qingdao West Coast FC 2–1 Shanghai SIPG FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prévision 34.45%2.90cote équitable
EV +1.62%
Avantage +0.550%
Kelly +0.831%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.53%34.16%34.55%35.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.722.9540.00%36.38%36.76%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.16%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.31%39.60%39.17%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.142.302.352.4846.73%43.45%42.55%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.39%3.79cote équitable
EV +1.60%
Avantage +0.416%
Kelly +0.562%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.52%26.24%26.29%27.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.47%28.57%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:15
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:15
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:15
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:14
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:14
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:14
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV +1.62%E +0.550%K +0.831%G +0.013%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 03:15
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.101%E -0.035%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -13.84%E -6.29%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV +1.60%E +0.416%K +0.562%G +0.009%5.9%2026-07-04 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -0.101%E -0.035%K -0.053%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.11%EV -14.63%E -6.71%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 03:15
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -1.13%E -0.395%K -0.607%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.13%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.31%EV -3.41%E -0.932%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 10:45
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -1.82%E -0.640%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -16.19%E -7.57%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 03:15
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -1.82%E -0.640%K -0.986%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.17%EV -16.19%E -7.57%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 03:15
GTbets2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -2.86%E -1.01%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.11%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 10:40
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.27%EV -3.20%E -1.14%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.47%EV -9.54%E -4.13%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.26%EV -6.05%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 10:55
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.55%E -1.27%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:45
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 10:40
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 10:49
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.31%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 10:45
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -1.04%E -0.277%K -0.377%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:40
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 10:45
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -5.27%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 10:39
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.30%E -2.32%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -6.32%E -1.78%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 10:55
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.35%EV -2.88%E -1.16%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 10:50
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 10:50
Marathon Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.24%EV -7.58%E -3.21%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 10:50
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -3.68%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 10:35
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -6.99%E -2.59%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.91%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-04 10:35
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 10:50
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -7.68%E -2.87%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.01%E -2.50%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.85%EV -8.95%E -2.60%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 10:50
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 10:50
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 10:50
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 10:50
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -8.71%E -3.29%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.93%E -4.32%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 10:50
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 10:50
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 10:50
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -9.75%E -3.72%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-04 10:45
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -6.79%E -2.85%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 10:55
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 10:50
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.44%E -4.01%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.97%E -3.39%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.27%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 10:55
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -11.89%E -5.28%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -11.59%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-04 10:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.88%E -5.55%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.80%E -7.35%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -7.63%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.46%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.8%2026-07-04 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-07-04 10:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.35%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.26%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-07-04 10:55